2-2: Final SO (OTT). 1.57-2.07: xG (OTT-BOS). 4-5: HD (OTT-BOS). +0.07 / -0.43: Philips / Frankel GSAx Boston had the slight analytical edge on chance quality: 2.07 xG to 1.57 and a 5-to-4 edge in high-danger shots . Ottawa had the slight edge on volume and shot share, finishing 25 shots to 23 at 53 percent Corsi. Two Rebecca Leslie goals 116 seconds apart at the start of the third had Ottawa ahead 2-1. Alina Müller 's 0.24 xG power-play wrister tied it, overtime produced no goal, and Boston won the shootout. The Leslie window Ottawa entered the third period with 22 seconds of carry-over power-play time after Abby Newhook 's teammate took a minor late in the second. Rebecca Leslie scored 8 seconds into the period on a 0.16 xG shot to tie the game, then returned at P3 2:04 to score again on a 0.08 xG 5-on-5 wrister. Two goals in 116 seconds of game clock. Leslie's top non-scoring chance later in the period was a 0.15 xG look at P3 9:17 that also didn't go. Her evening: three shots above 0.08 xG, two goals, 0.32 combined xG. That's the Charge's leading offensive performance on the night. Muller's answer Boston got on the board at P1 14:52 on a Abby Newhook 0.06 xG shot, then spent the rest of regulation generating better looks without cashing until Alina Müller 's 0.24 xG power-play wrister at P3 13:26. Boston's PP went 1-for-4 on 4 shots and 0.50 xG ; the Muller equalizer was the single in-tight look of the eight PP minutes. Ottawa's PP produced 1-for-2 but on a much thinner volume base: 1 shot for 0.18 xG . Leslie's first goal was the entire Ottawa PP evening. Goaltending, decomposed Gwyneth Philips stopped 21 of 23 live shots worth 2.07 xG, finishing at +0.07 GSAx . Essentially save-process flat: the two goals Boston scored graded at 0.06 and 0.24, and those two mid-quality shots getting through on a 23-shot workload is within the band where GSAx hovers around zero. Philips turned aside every Boston chance outside of those two, including the five high-danger looks the Fleet pushed through the second and third. Aerin Frankel faced 25 shots worth 1.57 xG and allowed two for -0.43 GSAx . Slightly below expectation, driven by Leslie's 0.16 PP goal going in, which is a shot the model grades to score around one time in six. One time in six happened. The other 24 Ottawa looks all stopped. The SO outcome came down to shootout-attempt variance, not the regulation save process at either end. The game in cumulative xG The scoring timeline P1 14:52 · Abby Newhook · xG 0.07 · OTT 0, BOS 1. P3 0:08 · Rebecca Leslie (PP) · xG 0.18 · OTT 1, BOS 1. P3 2:04 · Rebecca Leslie · xG 0.09 · OTT 2, BOS 1. P3 13:26 · Alina Müller (PP) · xG 0.25 · OTT 2, BOS 2. Shootout · Boston wins the skills competition · OTT 2, BOS 3 (final) Top scoring chances BOS P3 13:26 · Alina Müller shot · xG 0.25 (goal). BOS P4 2:56 · Liz Schepers shot · xG 0.23. BOS P1 10:21 · Abby Newhook shot · xG 0.18. BOS P2 6:25 · Susanna Tapani shot · xG 0.16. BOS P1 12:46 · Liz Schepers shot · xG 0.16. BOS P3 5:46 · Jill Saulnier shot · xG 0.15. OTT P3 0:08 · Rebecca Leslie shot · xG 0.18 (goal). OTT P3 9:17 · Rebecca Leslie shot · xG 0.17. OTT P3 6:50 · Stephanie Markowski shot · xG 0.12. OTT P2 11:23 · Rebecca Leslie shot · xG 0.11. OTT P1 4:03 · Emily Clark shot · xG 0.10. OTT P3 2:04 · Rebecca Leslie shot · xG 0.09 (goal) What this read isn't Not a decisive Boston process win. A 1.85-to-1.43 xG edge with matching goalie save-process lines is a slight edge, not a dominant one. Both teams had credible paths to winning in regulation.. Not a failure for Gwyneth Philips . A +0.07 GSAx night on 23 shots with five high-danger chances against her is clean process. The two goals were credible shots from credible places.. Not evidence Ottawa's PP has turned a corner. One PP goal on one shot is a variance-heavy data point. The process question is whether the unit can sustain zone time against a full PK; one shot on two opportunities is not a strong sample on that question.. Not a model failure. A game at 1.43-to-1.85 xG ending 2-2 after regulation is well inside the distribution. Shootout outcomes sit outside the model's game-state calibration; treat them as independent coin flips. Methodology xG model : PWHL-calibrated logistic regression on 16,709 non-EN shots. Same fit as the methodology post . Features: distance, angle, rebound (≤3 s), penalty shot, power play, overtime, scorer-tagged quality chance, seven shot-type dummies. Empty-net shots are priced outside the main model (MoneyPuck / NST convention). Shootout attempts are not included in game-state xG totals.. GSAx : summed xG on shots faced minus goals allowed, computed per-goalie from the PBP feed. Empty-net shots and goals are excluded from both sides of the ledger. Shootout attempts are excluded.. Numbers regenerate on every build. A PBP re-sync or xG recalibration reshapes every figure in this post on the next static export. Full play-by-play, shift overlays, and the per-player game log for this game are at /games/64 .